Nini kifanyike Tanzania?

Nini kifanyike Tanzania?

Zitto Kabwe

Hali yetu ya sasa
Ni dhahiri kuwa hofu imetanda miongoni mwa Watanzania. Ingawa watawala na mashabiki wao hukanusha jambo hili, ukweli ni kuwa nina amini wao wenyewe ndani ya mioyo yao wanakiri kuwa nchi sasa inaendeshwa kwa hofu na wananchi wamejaa hofu kubwa.

Hivi sasa mwananchi akifanya jambo lolote linaloonekana kuwa kinyume na fikra za watawala, wenzake wanamtazama kwa jicho kuwa atakuwa mhanga wa vitisho, mateso, kutekwa, kupotea ama kubambikiwa kesi.

Hakika jamii iliyojaa hofu haiwezi kuwa jamii huru na kamwe haiwezi kupata maendeleo.

Hofu hii iliyotamalaki imekomazwa na matendo ya utawala kukandamiza uhuru wa watu kujieleza, kupata/kupasha habari, kukusanyika na kuhoji/kukosoa Serikali yao. Hizi ni haki za kikatiba ambazo wajibu wa Serikali ni kuzilinda.

Tumeshuhudia wananchi na haswa vijana wakishtakiwa mahakamani kwa makosa yatokanayo na haki yao ya kujieleza kwenye mitandao ya kijamii. Baadhi ya vijana wamehukumiwa vifungo ama kulipa faini.

Mmiliki wa mtandao wa JamiiForums, mtandao wenye kutoa mawazo huru kwa wananchi na kwa muda uliochangia kwa kiasi kikubwa vita dhidi ya ufisadi nchini, Maxence Melo bado anaendelea na kesi zilizofunguliwa dhidi yake ikiwa sehemu ya vitisho vya dola ambavyo pamoja na shauri hilo amekuwa akilazimishwa kutoa majina ya wachangiaji wa mtandao huo.

Licha ya kwamba katiba yetu inaruhusu vyama vya siasa kufanya mikutano ya hadhara na kujitangaza, kuandikisha wanachama, kukosoa sera za Serikali na hata kueneza sera mbadala, Serikali kupitia amri isiyo ya kikatiba wala kisheria ya Rais imezuia vyama kufanya shughuli zake hizo halali.

Matamko halali kabisa ya kisiasa ya wanasiasa sasa yanachukuliwa kama ni uchochezi na watoa matamko kushtakiwa kwa makosa ya jinai ikiwemo kwa kutumia sheria mpya kandamizi ya huduma za habari (The Media Services Act 2016 ).

Tumeshuhudia wabunge wakifungwa jela kwa makosa ya matamko ya kisiasa ambayo yangepaswa kujibiwa kisiasa tu kutoka upande wa pili ( watawala ).

Hivi sasa viongozi wakuu wa vyama vya upinzani wanakwenda mahakamani kila wiki kujibu tuhuma za kisiasa, lengo likiwa ni kuwapotezea muda na kuwajaza hofu washindwe kufanya shughuli zao ipasavyo.

Utawala umeweza kusambaza hofu kwa kugusa kila kundi katika jamii. Wanasiasa wanatishiwa na kesi za uchochezi, kutekwa au majaribio ya kuuawa kwa kupigwa risasi mchana kweupe ndani ya eneo lenye ulinzi mkubwa.

Waandishi wa Habari wanatishwa kwa ama vyombo vya habari kama magazeti kufungiwa au kutekwa na kutoonekana kabisa; Wakulima bei za mazao yao zimeporomoshwa makusudi kutokana na maamuzi ya hovyo ya kisera ya Serikali; Wavuvi wanachomewa nyavu zao na mitumbu yao kuchomwa moto; Wafugaji wanaondolewa kwenye maeneo yao ya malisho ili kuanzisha ranchi binafsi na wengine kuuwawa; Wafanyabiashara wanabambikiwa kesi ama kodi kubwa ili kuwakomesha na kuweka utii kwa dola; Wanawake wanatukanwa na kudhalilishwa ikiwemo kuwanyima fursa ya kujiendeleza kimasomo watoto wa kike wanaopata uja uzito mashuleni.

Viongozi wa dini wanaojaribu kuhoji watawala wanachunguzwa uraia wao; Wanaharakati wa asasi za kijamii wanaotoa mawazo yasiyopendeza watawala wanatangazwa sio raia wa Tanzania na asasi zao kutishiwa kufutwa kwa kutungiwa kanuni kandamizi za uendeshaji wa asasi hizo.

Wananchi kwa ujumla wanaumizwa na hali mbaya ya uchumi inayotokana na maamuzi ya hovyo ya kisera ya Serikali katika utekelezaji wa miradi mikubwa ya maendeleo. Wananchi wa Zanzibar wamenyimwa haki ya kuongozwa na Serikali waliyoichagua katika uchaguzi mkuu wa mwaka 2015. Hakuna kundi katika jamii ambalo limebakizwa, kila kundi limeguswa.

Tunataka nini?
Kwa maoni yangu Watanzania wengi wanapenda kuwa huru; Uhuru wa Mawazo, kujieleza, kukusanyika nk. Nadhani tunataka Tanzania yenye raia wenye uhuru kwa mujibu wa Katiba. Vyama vya siasa viwe huru kufanya shughuli zao bila bugudha na kwa mujibu wa sheria, Bunge la Wananchi liwe huru kuisimamia Serikali bila kuzongwazongwa na Watendaji, vyombo vya habari viwe huru kuandika/kutangaza habari bila woga wala upendeleo; Wananchi wawe huru kuikosoa serikali dhidi ya sera zake kandamizi zinazowasokomeza kwenye umasikini, Wazanzibari wapate haki yao ya uchaguzi (electoral justice) waliyoporwa Oktoba 2015 na viongozi wa dini na asasi za kiraia wawe huru kufanya kazi zao bila vitisho. Kiufupi tunataka nchi ya kidemokrasia ambayo asasi za kidemokrasia zinatimiza wajibu wao kwa uhuru.

Tufanye nini?
Sasa wakati umefika wa kujenga mshikamano kurejesha demokrasia tuliyokuwa nayo nchini na kujenga demokrasia madhubuti ambayo haitachezewa tena na yeyote. Haitoshi kila mtu kusema lake kwa wakati wake anapoguswa na matendo ya kidikteta, tunapaswa kuwa na sauti nyingi lakini zinazoratibiwa ili kuhakikisha kuwa tunalinda haki za watu na kuhami uchumi wa nchi wetu usiendelee kuporomoka. Tunapaswa kuwa na harakati za kutetea haki za kijamii (social justice), haki za kujieleza (freedom of speech) na Demokrasia. Tunapaswa kujenga vuguvugu pana la watu  a broad based popular movement) ili kuleta mabadiliko ya kijamii, kiuchumi na kisiasa.
Ili kujenga vuguvugu hili ni lazima kuweka mbele maslahi mapana ya Taifa letu na kuachana na maslahi binafsi ambayo yamekuwa yakitawala siasa za Tanzania kwa miongo miwili sasa bila mafanikio ya maana. Ni lazima kukubali ukweli kuwa, kwa hali ya nchi ilivyo sasa hakuna chama kimoja pekee ama kundi la jamii moja pekee linaweza kukabili utawala dhalimu wa kidikteta uliopo nchini na kushinda. Wasioweza kuukabili ubinafsi wao kwenye mambo haya tuwaombe basi wauweke kama akiba kisha tukimaliza kazi hii ya mabadiliko waendelee nao. Kila jambo tufanyalo lazima lijibu swali ‘ hili linatusaidia kutufikisha kwenye lengo la kuondoa utawala wa kidikteta nchini?’

Ni lazima tuwe na mshikamano katika kukabili dubwana tunalokabiliana nalo. Hatupaswi kuruhusu hata siku moja ya ziada baada ya uchaguzi mkuu wa mwaka 2020 tukiwa na ‘regime’ hii tuliyonayo sasa.

Hili ni jambo linalowezekana iwapo tutakuwa na mshikamano madhubuti bila kujali vyama vyetu vya siasa.

Watanzania wapo tayari, wanapaswa kuongozwa tu. Uongozi huu ni lazima uwe na watu wasiopenda yanayoendelea nchini ndani ya watawala, walio nje ya watawala, Wafanyakazi, Wakulima, Wavuvi, Wafugaji, Vjana, Wanawake, Wafanyabiashara, wana harakati na kila mtu anayetaka Tanzania na Zanzibar zilizo njema zenye Uhuru na Demokrasia.

Tunaweza tukiamua. Haya #twenzetu tukaunde vuguvugu hili kuanzia mitaani tunamoishi, vijijini na mijini.

Dar Es Salaam
5/11/2018

Investor’s Guide KIGOMA UJIJI 2017 @KigomaUjijiMC

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Tamko la ndg. Kabwe Zuberi Ruyagwa Zitto kuhusu Rasilimali na Madeni

Tamko la ndg. Kabwe Zuberi Ruyagwa Zitto kuhusu Rasilimali na Madeni

Ndugu Watanzania, Kama mnavyofahamu kuwa ibara ya 132(4) na (5) na Sheria ya Maadili ya Viongozi wa Umma, Sheria namba 13 ya mwaka 1995 inataka viongozi wote wa umma kujaza fomu za Tamko la Rasilimali na Madeni. Tamko hilo huwasilishwa Sekretariat ya Maadili ya Viongozi kabla ya mwisho wa kila mwaka. Kama nifanyavyo siku zote, nawajulisha rasmi kwamba nimetimiza matakwa hayo ya katiba na sheria kuhusu Maadili ya Viongozi.

Inafahamika kuwa Chama Cha ACT Wazalendo, kwa mujibu wa Katiba yake na Azimio la Tabora, kimeelekeza kuwa Viongozi wake wote waweke wazi kwa Umma Tamko la Mali, Madeni na Maslahi. Kwa kufuata masharti ya Katiba ya Chama Cha ACT Wazalendo natangaza rasmi fomu zangu nilizowasilisha Leo Sekretariat ya Maadili ya Viongozi wa Umma.

Ni matumaini yangu kwamba itafikia wakati Daftari la Rasilimali na Madeni la Viongozi wa Umma litakuwa linawekwa wazi kwa Umma ili wananchi waweze kujua Mali, Madeni na Maslahi ya Viongozi wao na pale ambapo kiongozi ametoa habari zisizo sahihi au kuficha mwananchi aweze kutoa Taarifa kwenye Sekretariat na Baraza la Maadili liweze kufanya kazi yake ipsavyo.

Mfumo wa kuweka wazi Rasilimali na Madeni ya Viongozi wa Umma ni mfumo endelevu na muhimu kwenye vita vita dhidi ya ubadhirifu na ufisadi. Mataifa kadhaa duniani hutumia mfumo huu ( public disclosure of leaders’ assets and liabilities) kuwezesha mapambano dhidi ya rushwa na ufisadi. Nchini Uingereza na Kanada kwa mfano, daftari la matamko ya Rasilimali na Madeni ya Viongozi lipo wazi kwa kila mwananchi kuona na huuzwa kwenye duka la vitabu la Bunge.

Namsihi Sana Rais John Pombe Magufuli kusaidia kufanya mabadiliko makubwa ya Sheria ya maadili ya Viongozi ili kurejesha na kuboresha Miiko ya Viongozi katika kuimarisha vita dhidi ya ufisadi nchini. Rais aliahidi kuweka wazi Mshahara wake alipokuwa anazungumza katika kipindi cha 360 cha Clouds TV. Ninamkumbusha afanye hivyo na pia aweke wazi Mali, Madeni na Maslahi yake ya Kibiashara ili awe mfano kwa Viongozi wengine Nchini.

Kabwe Zuberi Ruyagwa Zitto, Mb

Kigoma Mjini

30/12/2016

FOMU ZA MAADILI KIONGOZI WA CHAMA 1/2

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FOMU ZA MAADILI KIONGOZI WA CHAMA 2/2

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Will the real Opposition emerge under Magufuli’s repressive CCM?

Will the real Opposition emerge under Magufuli’s repressive CCM?

Zitto Kabwe

When President Magufuli was addressing a political rally in Manyoni Township, Singida region on the 29th July 2016, he referred to the opposition in Tanzania as a dying snake. He said “after you cut off a snake’s head, it keeps thrashing its tail. You may think it hasn’t died, but it has”. It appears that he believes the recent announced move of protests by the leading opposition party in Tanzania, CHADEMA, are signs of a dying party. He said “where are those parties? They are dead.” In the same rally he dared CHADEMA to go to the streets and demonstrate. The President threatened in ‘street’ Swahili “watakiona cha mtema kuni. Wasinijaribu. Sijaribiki.” Meaning he isn’t testable and he will crash them heavily.

CHADEMA announced a new operation called UKUTA, meaning an alliance against dictatorship in Tanzania. The Swahili word ‘ Umoja’, which I translated here as an alliance, is actually misused since it was the decision of one party. Even parties under UKAWA, a consortium of opposition parties that supports the people’s constitution, are not part of UKUTA. How CHADEMA ended up using the word Umoja is either a result of arrogance, ignorance or simply a lack of a proper word to have in an announce-able term UKUTA, which literarily means the WALL. President Magufuli may have interpreted the lack of an actual alliance as an indication of the fall of UKAWA, thus the snake parable.

The President is prone to issuing threats. He appears to enjoy it. In his coronation as the chairperson of CCM, he raised eyebrows when he said that had he been a CCM leader during its presidential primaries, he would have liquidated all CCM congress national executive members who were pro-Edward Lowassa. When the Commander in Chief of the Armed Forces makes a remark like that, it is really threatening. If he cannot tolerate dissent within his own party what will he do to the opposition? The dead snake parable leaves a lot to be desired.

For years opposition activists and some political analysts have been predicting the end of the CCM regime. In the course of three elections, CCM’s popularity has been dwindling from 80% in the year 2005 to 61% in 2010 and 58% in 2015 (if we can take official Presidential elections results as an indication of overall party popularity). The last election was a clear test of CCM’s ability to maintain power as several of its influential members left for the opposition including two Former Prime Ministers who are now in CHADEMA. However, since the election of Magufuli as President and eventually the head of CCM, the party seems to be charting ways to survive. Will CCM survive? Will the opposition thrive? These are the questions I attempt to put to the readers of this article and our political analysts who are seemingly muted.

CCM is an authoritarian party in all sense and purpose. It is a dominant single party with some ability to adapt. President Kikwete’s methods of adaptation were through opening up; for example, allowing the Parliament to hold the Executive to account. He lost a prime minister following a parliamentary work and reshuffled his cabinet thrice, strengthened the National Audit Office and allowed free debate of the Controller and Auditor General (CAG) report of government accounts and did not hinder opposition parties to operate freely and organize. He faced criticism within CCM for being too liberal and later the opposition called him weak. Kikwete’s guided nomination of Magufuli as CCM presidential candidate is arguably one of his Machiavellian tactics of survival. President Magufuli in particular and CCM in general takes the opposite route to Kikwete. The true colours of an authoritarian, dominant CCM are starting to show.

Authoritarian parties like CCM have two main goals. First, to hold onto power by eliminating real and perceived threats. Second, to generate popular support in order to achieve development goals. In his book, The Dictator’s Dilemma, Bruce Dickson (2016) observes that the above goals are achieved through the survival strategy of legitimation, co-optation and repression.

President Magufuli’s legitimation process is through war on corruption, ambitious development agenda and straight talk to the population. After he came to power in November 2015, he launched a crackdown against corruption and has continued the crackdown ever since. He has as well announced anti corruption crackdown within CCM. His anti corruption platform has been a platform of the opposition for a decade. The author and his colleagues, like the former CHADEMA Secretary General, Wilbrod Slaa, used the parliament to legitimise opposition politics by raising corruption scandals and holding the government to account. The opposition in general and CHADEMA in particular lost the platform during the 2015 elections and literally handed it to the CCM candidate. Other parties like ACT Wazalendo had a more clear agenda on anti-corruption but its voice wasn’t heard in the campaign dominated by two candidates, one from CCM and the other a former CCM ex-Prime Minister running under the opposition alliance ticket of UKAWA. The CCM candidate was announced winner and he wasted no time in starting an anti-corruption agenda. He now owns it.

Tanzanians hated CCM because of, among other things, its inherently corrupt nature. The people of Tanzania have started to fall in love with the new no nonsense leader. He got them instantly and the opposition lost an agenda despite trying to discredit him on his lack of following due process. The opposition used elitist arguments. The common man and woman just wants action, not legal technicalities and that’s what the President is giving them.

President Magufuli sugarcoated the anti-corruption agenda with an ambitious development agenda. Every time he speaks he reiterates the industrialisation agenda. He uses a simple language that wananchi understand. Pockets of the urban-based, middle to upper class segments of the country see his agenda as unclear and largely ambiguous. But many more Tanzanians have swallowed the message as it is wholeheartedly. There is limited evidence of the President’s successful implementation of his development agenda. All projects he has opened to date are projects that were started under Kikwete. But citizens don’t care. Because he has won them on anti-corruption. The President currently talks about new aircrafts for dying Air Tanzania and people cheer while less than 5% of them fly. He got it. He won the narrative. The opposition lost it.

The President has embraced CCM cadres who lost the CCM primaries during the 2015 parliamentary elections. With this action, he has kept most members of the 11th parliament on their toes. Losers of the primaries are being ‘fed’ to be able to go back and contest against sitting members in the next election. Sitting members will now work to please the President so that, as the chairman of their party, he doesn’t cut them off during the nomination in 2020. In short, President Magufuli has created a shadow parliament of his own. The political genius many people underestimate. He now has a carrot and stick for Members of Parliament (MPs). He has a cat to threaten most of them. As a result, we will likely witness a parliament that becomes more toothless and subservient. Haven’t we already started seeing that?

Some sectors of society, sectors important to a vibrant and open democracy, face quiet co-option. Academia and media come to mind. Open repression is reserved for political parties. The President himself announced a ban on public rallies by political parties. The ban is completely unconstitutional and against political parties’ enabling legislation. In his address at Manyoni on the 29th July he clarified by allowing Members of Parliament to conduct rallies in their own constituencies and since he is the President he is the only one who can do rallies all over the country. This move is an effort to channel only one point of view to the public – that’s of the President and his party and in the process frustrate other parties into oblivion.

Under those circumstances many people have started to write obituaries for the opposition.

However, I would still argue that these circumstances are at times a necessary condition for the rise of real opposition politics. One-agenda politics must pave way for issues-based politics. Repression is conducive for likeminded members of the opposition parties to work together without worries. The liberal approach of President Kikwete created an environment of envy amongst comrades and a sense of ‘it is our time to eat’. It has had detrimental consequences for politics and development in the country, and for the welfare of the opposition.

The real opposition will have to engage in providing a critical analysis of the regime and offer an alternative policy. Issues like budget management will be critical as signs are out there that the fifth phase government will have more adverse audit opinion than any other before. Out of budget expenditures are rampant and more threatening is the drawdown of foreign reserve. It has never happened in the previous 20 years for the Tanzanian foreign reserve to decline and it was happening even before Magufuli started to implement his budget. US$500m has been withdrawn from our foreign reserve between November 2015 and June 2016. The amount remaining is enough to serve the country only for 3.6 months. The best practice for developing countries is to have a reserve enough to cover at least 6 months.

Tax revenues are still at the levels of the previous administration. High profile announcements of monthly revenues collection are no longer there because the taxman was collecting arrears and the government attacks ‘the chicken laying golden eggs’ i.e. the business community, without adequately investing in alternative sources of revenue for the country.

These are the issues the opposition must bring up. Well-articulated issues backed by expert evidence. Critical analysis of data and of government actions and reactions. The era of scandal-raising politics is over; the regime has co-opted it. Only politics of solutions can support the opposition now. The steady slide towards repression must be fought vehemently. But if the opposition does not articulate issues affecting the day to day lives of people, the repression will be supported by people. A coalition of likeminded people who have credentials to fight against corruption and articulate developmental politics must emerge and take up the ideological bankruptcy existing in the country now. Lack of issues and business as usual weaken the opposition and discredit most of our moves, including the recent UKUTA operation.

Once our modus operandi changes and we start tackling issues and articulate them, the real opposition will emerge, stronger and ready to govern.

Aliyoyazungumza Zitto kuhusu kongamano la bajeti na yeye kusakwa na polisi @millardayo

UCHAMBUZI WA BAJETI YA SERIKALI 2016/17 @ACTWazalendo @zittokabwe

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Municipal Social Security scheme touted in Kigoma

Municipal Social Security  scheme touted in Kigoma  

The Kigoma Ujiji Municipal Council (KUMC) has passed an unprecedented motion raised by the constituency MP, Hon Kabwe Zuberi Ruyagwa Zitto, to establish the Kigoma/Ujiji Municipality Social Security Scheme (KUMSSS). This happened on the full council meeting held on 30th January 2016. This motion is the first ever of this kind in Tanzania.

The main purpose is to seeking to extend universal health coverage to the entire population of the constituency by 2020, boost local savings through social security in order to raise enough capital for long term investments in the Municipality  and provide pension to elders. 

The motion was raised during the first full KMC meeting by Hon Zitto (ACT, Kigoma Mjini ) who presented through components to this project (universal health coverage, pension, and access to credit for primary societies). If implemented, the project will register 20,000 members, representing roughly half of the Kigoma/Ujiji Municipality (or 120,000 individuals). The Municipality has resolved to start grouping potential members into Primary cooperative Societies through various affinities such as profession, economic activities and area of residence.

‘Through a matching system, members will only pay half of their contribution’ continued Hon Kabwe. A matcher (Municipal Coucil itself, Constituency Development Catalyst Fund and The  World Bank ( to be approached)  would match tshs 10,000 to the member’s equivalent contribution, over a period of 3 to 5 years. In order for the KUMC to implementing the project, they would have to discuss with the National Social Security Funds (NSSF) to develop this special scheme for management purposes and contact the World Bank to assess whether they would join this fantastic project.

Through Primary Societies, Members will benefit from potential credits from NSSF, said Hon Zitto. This idea has been tested with coffee farmers of Rumaku in Kalinzi (Kigoma North) and can be duplicated to smaller groups in the informal sector such as bodaboda, hairdressers, vendors etc.

Each member will benefit from total health coverage and the benefit will be extended to 5 of his or her family members. This means that just through this scheme, an average of 120.000 individuals will receive primary healthcare. This is the flagship benefit used to attract members in the scheme. Any health expenses will not be deducted from the members’ savings. However this is not the only benefit of the KUMSSS.

Primary societies will be eligible to apply for loans. Members would collectively get mid-term loans to sustain and expand their businesses, then pay back within 3 to 5 years. This collective liability for loans will constitute a guarantee for reimbursement. By expending their businesses members will increase their savings and hopefully create employment.

Another important benefit is pension. From the 15th year of continued contribution, members will have the choice to withdraw from the project by taking 15 years’ worth of contribution and dispose of the money to quick start projects, invest or spend it as they please, or decide to go for the pension scheme, allowing them to retire comfortably, in dignity. However, member who will opt to withdraw from the project will only withdraw their half of the money in their accounts, constituting their own contribution.

Meanwhile, NSSF would have to look with more attention to the Kigoma Municipality needs in terms of infrastructures and job creation investments financing. This potentially increased income will raise the need for health infrastructures, electricity and roads following the probable small enterprise boom that will likely take place over the next few years.

The Municipal Council directed the Municipal Director to look into ways of including social security scheme membership as a condition for licensing traders, taxi services and other licenses issued by the municipal authority.

The motion was unanimously approved by all councillors regardless of political parties. Kigoma Ujiji Municipal Council is made of councilors from three political Parties ACT Wazalendo (20), CCM (7) and CHADEMA ( 1). 

Communications Desk

Kigoma Ujiji Municipal Council

P O Box 44

Kigoma

 

Tcontactel +255 28 2802535 Municipal Director

contact MP zitto.kabwen [at] yahoo.com and Mayor Hussein Ruhava  +255 753 623 600 for Inquiries 

Tamko la Kiongozi wa chama cha ACT Wazalendo ndg. Zitto Kabwe kuhusu Ripoti ya CAG mwaka 2013/2014

Tamko la Kiongozi wa chama cha ACT Wazalendo ndg. Zitto Kabwe kuhusu Ripoti ya CAG mwaka 2013/2014

1) Taarifa nyingine ya CAG imetoka, kwa mujibu wa Katiba ya JMT na kwa mujibu wa sheria za nchi. Taarifa hii imechelewa kutolewa kulingana na mabadiliko ya Ratiba za Bunge ambapo hapo awali taarifa ilikuwa ikitoka mwezi Aprili na kuwezesha kuchangia katika mchakato wa Bajeti ya nchi. Taarifa ya mwaka huu na ile ya mwaka Jana imetoka wakati wa Bunge la Bajeti na hivyo Bajeti ya Serikali haijazingatia hoja za ukaguzi ili kuboresha mfumo wa matumizi ya fedha za umma. Ni vema utaratibu wa zamani wa ripoti kutolewa mwezi Aprili urejewe ili wabunge waweze kutumia ripoti hizo wakati wa kamati katika kujadili makadirio ya Bajeti za Wizara mbalimbali.

2) Taarifa kama miaka iliyopita bado sio nzuri. Mapato mengi ya Serikali bado yanapotea. Uk. 53 wa Taarifa unaonyesha kuwa mizigo inayoingizwa nchini kupita kwenda nchi jirani zinazotumia bandari zetu hubakia nchini na kuingizwa sokoni hivyo kukwepa kodi. Mwaka 2013/2014 mizigo ya transit iliyobaki nchini kiudanganyifu ilikuwa zaidi ya bidhaa 6000 kwa mujibu wa Taarifa ya CAG. Hivyo kodi ya tshs 836 bilioni haikulipwa kwa mizigo hiyo sawa sawa na 10% ya makusanyo yote ya kodi za ndani. Tshs 836 bilioni ilipotea mwaka 2013/14 peke yake. Wakati hili linatokea Serikali ipo ukata mkubwa na kushindwa kuendesha miradi yake mbalimbali. Fedha iliyokwepwa idara ya forodha peke yake inalipa Madeni yote ya wakandarasi wa barabara wanaoidai TANROADS na riba kulimbikizwa kila mwaka. Fedha hii ingelipa Madeni yote ya mfuko wa PSPF wanayoidai Serikali. Fedha hizi zingeweza kulipia miradi 2 mikubwa nchini ya BVR na vitambulisho vya Taifa ambayo inasuasua kutokana na ukata.

Natoa wito kwa CAG kwanza kuweka wazi orodha ya bidhaa hizo zilizobakia nchini na kuingizwa nchini bila kulipa kodi. Vile vile CAG aweke wazi wafanyabiashara wote walioagiza bidhaa hizi na vyombo vya kiuchunguzi vichukue hatua za kuwashtaki wafanya biashara hawa mara moja.

Natoa wito kwa Kamati ya Bunge ya PAC kuwaita mara moja maafisa wa TRA kujieleza mbele ya kamati kuhusu suala hili na kuandaa taarifa maalumu bungeni ili kuanika uoza huu unaopoteza mapato mengi sana ya Serikali.

3) CAG kaonyesha kuwa kuna ubadhirifu mkubwa sana kitengo cha maafa cha ofisi ya Waziri Mkuu ambapo tshs 163 billioni za chakula cha maafa hazikukusanywa katika kipindi cha miaka 5 iliyopita. Huu ni kama mrija wenye wastani wa tshs 32 bilioni kuchotwa kwa kisingizio cha chakula cha maafa kwa wananchi. Kwa malezo ya CAG ni kwamba Watumishi wa Ofisi ya Waziri Mkuu wamekula fedha za chakula cha misaada. Maana hakuna uthibitisho wa kuwa mahindi yaliyogawanywa na taarifa kutolewa na Wakala wa Akiba ya Chakula (NFRA). Kitengo cha maafa ofisi ya PM kimekuwa mrija wa wizi wa fedha za umma, wizi ambao umekuwa ukifanyika bila ya kugunduliwa kwa miaka 5 sasa. ACT Wazalendo inaisihi Kamati ya Bunge ya PAC kufanya uchunguzi maalumu kwenye kashfa hii ya tshs 163 bilioni katika Ofisi ya Waziri Mkuu na Wakala wa Hifadhi ya Chakula ( NFRA).

4) ACT Wazalendo inalitaka Bunge kuchukua stahiki dhidi ya Wizara ya Ujenzi kufuatia ripoti ya CAG kuonyesha kuwa Wizara ilidanganya Bunge katika kupitisha Bajeti ya tshs 252 bilioni ambapo kati yake tshs 87 bilioni ziliibiwa au matumizi yake kutoeleweka.

5) ACT Wazalendo inampongeza CAG kwa kuendelea na zoezi la kisheria la kukagua mahesabu ya vyama vya siasa. Hii inaweka misingi ya uwajibikaji kuanzia kwenye vyama vya siasa, taasisi muhimu sana katika ujenzi wa demokrasia. Vyama vya siasa vichukulie ripoti ya CAG kama changamoto ya kutoa kwanza kibanzi kwenye macho yao ili kuwa na ‘ moral standing’ ya kupambana dhidi ya ubadhirifu wa fedha za umma nchini.

Zitto Kabwe

Kiongozi wa Chama ACT Wazalendo

 

 

Maelezo ya Gavana Prof Benno Ndulu Kuhusu Kushuka kwa Thamani ya Shilingi ya Tanzania kwa Kamati ya Fedha Uchumi na Biashara

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Yaliyojificha kuporomoka kwa shilingi dhidi ya Dola ya Marekani Shilingi inahujumiwa na Mabenki?

Yaliyojificha kuporomoka kwa shilingi dhidi ya Dola ya Marekani

Shilingi inahujumiwa na Mabenki? – Zitto Kabwe[1]

Katika ukurasa wangu wa facebook mnamo tarehe 25 Aprili 2015 niliandika kuhusu sababu za shilingi kuporomoka thamani na majawabu ya namna ya kurejesha thamani halisi ya sarafu yetu. Nilieleza “Shilingi kuporomoka dhidi ya dola na kuvuka 1$/2000TS kunasababishwa na sababu kadhaa 1) Woga wa uchaguzi na hivyo Dola nyingi kutoingia nchini (FDI etc) kusikilizia Serikali ijayo inaundwaje 2) Woga wa uchaguzi na hivyo matajiri kununua dola kwa kasi (too many Tshs chasing too few $) ili kuzificha (hoard) nje 3) kutouza mazao nje na kuagiza bidhaa nyingi kutoka nje ( current account deficit) 4) Benki Kuu kutoachia $ nyingi kwenye soko kutokana na akiba ya fedha za kigeni kupungua 5) Kuongezeka kwa huduma ya Deni la Taifa ambapo malipo ni kwa fedha za kigeni kwa madeni yaliyo wiva.

Niliendelea kushauri majawabu “Suluhisho 1) Benki Kuu kuachia $ za kutosha kwenye soko katika muda mfupi na wa kati (Mwezi Februari BoT ilifanya hivi na kuongeza $64 milioni kwneye soko bila mafanikio[2] 2) Kuongeza mauzo nje hasa ukizingatia kwa sasa ‘our exports becomes cheaper vis a vis foreign exchange) 3) Malipo ya kodi ya Ongezeko la Mtaji kutoka BG (Shell transaction ) na Ophir (Pavilion transaction), malipo haya kwa fedha za kigeni 4) Punguza kununua vitu vya anasa kutoka nje 5) Unafuu wa huduma kwa Deni la Taifa ( Debt relief ) 6) Punguza ujazo wa fedha nchini (mop tshs out)”.

Mjadala mkali umeendelea kuhusu suala hili katika majukwaa mbali mbali. Ni dhahiri kuporomoka kwa shilingi kunaathiri sana Watanzania wa ngazi ya kati hasa wafanyabiashara wa kati wenye kununua huduma na bidhaa kutoka nje. Wenye viwanda wanaotegemea malighafi kutoka nje gharama zao za uzalishaji zimeongezeka zaidi na hivyo kuhatarisha uzalishaji mali nchini. Licha ya kwamba kuporomoka kwa shilingi kunafanya bidhaa zetu za kuuza nje kuwa rahisi, lakini huchukua muda kuzalisha bidhaa hizo na hasa kilimo kuweza kufaidika hali hiyo. Kwa hiyo ni faida kwa nchi kwa sasa kuwa na sarafu stahmilivu ( stable) iliyojengwa kwenye misingi imara ya Uchumi. Hata hivyo, inaonekana kuwa sarafu ya Tanzania inahujumiwa. Kuporomoka kwa Shilingi katika wiki za hivi karibuni sio matokeo ya nguvu za soko bali ni matokeo ya hujuma ( currency manipulations).

Mabenki makubwa ya kigeni nchini, inasemekana, katika miezi ya karibuni yamefanya currency manipulations na kupelekea dola chache kukimbizwa na shilingi nyingi na hivyo bei ya dola kupanda bei. Hii inatokana na ukweli kwamba Benki zetu kubwa tatu zinazoongoza zinaendeshwa na wageni. Inasemekana biashara hii hufanyika kati ya matawi ya Benki za kigeni hapa nchini na makao makuu yao. Kuporomoka kwa shilingi kunakotokea hivi sasa hakuendani na kuporomoka kwa miaka ya nyuma kipindi kama hiki (ambacho ki kawaida ni miezi shilingi hushuka thamani kwa sababu ya watalii kuwa wachache na mauzo ya bidhaa nje kuwa madogo sana). Wastani wa miaka 10 iliyopita inaonyesha kuwa kipindi hiki shilingi hushuka kwa kati ya 8% mpaka 13% na sio kuporomoka kwa zaidi ya 20% kulikotokea hivi sasa. Kwa mfano mwaka 2011 miezi kama hii ( Februari – Mei) Shilingi iliporomoka kutoka shs 1,380 kwa dola 1 mpaka shs 1,570 sawa na mporomoko wa 12%. Hata hivyo kuanzia mwaka huo mpaka mwaka 2014 shilingi imekuwa ikishuka thamani kwa kiwango kidogo sana. Mwaka 2013 thamani ya shilingi ilishuka kwa wastani wa asilimia 1.7 tu.

Uchambuzi huu wa thamani ya sarafu yetu unaonyesha kuwa kuna zaidi ya nguvu ya soko kunakotokana na mauzo yetu nje kuwa machache. Vile vile kupanda kwa thamani ya dola ya marekani duniani hakutoshi kuelezea mporomoko huu wa kasi wa shilingi kuanzia mwezi Disemba mwaka 2014 mpaka sasa. Tuhuma za mabenki kuwa yanahujumu shilingi (currency manipulations) zaweza kuwa na ukweli.

Vile vile, inasemekana kumekuwa na utoroshaji mkubwa wa dola kutoka nchini kwenda nje ya nchi. Utoroshaji huu unafanyika kupitia wasafiri wanaopita ukumbi wa VIP uwanja wa ndege wa kimataifa wa Dar es Salaam. Utoroshwaji huu unatokana na hofu isiyo ya msingi kwamba uchaguzi utakuwa na vurugu. Utoroshwaji wa fedha ni kinyume sheria zetu. Sheria zetu za fedha za kigeni zinazuia mtu kubeba zaidi ya dola 10,000 za kimarekani zikiwa taslimu, kuingia nazo nchini au kutoka nazo nchini. Tafiti za haraka zinaonyesha kuwa huu umekuwa ni utaratibu wa kawaida kila mwaka wa uchaguzi tangu mfumo wa vyama vingi uanze.

Benki Kuu ya Tanzania inapaswa kuchukua hatua zifuatazo;

1. Kufanya uchunguzi wa kushtukiza mara moja dhidi ya benki zote za kigeni zilizopo hapa nchini. Uchunguzi huu utazame biashara ya fedha za kigeni ya benki hizi kwa lengo la kuzuia ‘ currency manipulations’ na kuchukua hatua madhubuti dhidi ya Benki yeyote itakayokutwa imehujumu biashara ya fedha za kigeni kwa lengo la kushusha thamani ya shilingi dhidi ya dola za kimarekani.
2. Jeshi la Polisi na kitengo cha kuzuia utoroshaji wa fedha ( anti money laundering unit) kufanya ukaguzi wa lazima wa watu wote wanaosafiri kwenda nje ikiwemo wanaopita sehemu ya watu mashuhuri (VIP Lounge) ili kudhibiti utoroshaji wa fedha za kigeni kwenda ughaibuni.
3. Watanzania tufikirie upya nafasi ya Mabenki katika uchumi wa nchi na kufanya maamuzi magumu ya kurejesha baadhi ya Benki katika umiliki mpana zaidi wa Watanzania. Kwa malengo ya muda wa kati, Benki kubwa 3 nchini ilazimu kuwa na umiliki unaozidi 51% wa Watanzania. Bila ya kushika mabenki nchi itachezewa sana.
4. Suluhiho la kudumu la sarafu stahmilivu ni kuongeza uzalishaji wa bidhaa za kuuza nje ya nchi na kupunguza manunuzi ya bidhaa kutoka nje. Urari wa Biashara wa Tanzania umepanuka kutoka $1bn mwaka 2004 mpaka $6bn mwaka 2013 (BOT 2013) kutokana manunuzi yetu nje kukua kwa kasi kutoka $2.5bn mpaka $11bn wakati mauzo yetu nje yakikua kwa kasi ndogo kutoka $1.4bn mpaka $5bn katika kipindi hicho. Isingekuwa uimara katika urari katika uwekezaji na uhamisho wa mitaji, Tanzania ingekuwa na sarafu yenye thamani sawa na takataka. Serikali ihimize uzalishaji mali mashambani na viwandani na kuuza nje biadhaa zilizoongezwa thamani. Zama za kutegemea dhahabu zimekwisha na sio endelevu. Turudi kwenye misingi: Bidhaa za Kilimo na Viwanda.

Tutaendelea kufuatilia thamani ya shilingi mpaka ifikapo mwezi Julai ambapo ndipo kipindi kigumu kwa shilingi huwa kihistoria. Hatua zilizoainishwa zisipotazamwa na mamlaka tajwa thamani ya shilingi dhidi ya dola ya Marekani yaweza kufikia tshs 3000!

[1] Zitto Kabwe ni Kiongozi wa Chama cha ACT Wazalendo. Amepata kuwa Waziri Kivuli wa Fedha na Mwenyekiti wa Kamati ya Bunge ya PAC

[2] Benki Kuu kuingiza $ kwenye soko kuna hatarisha kupunguza Akiba ya fedha za Kigeni. Kutokana na ujinai unaoendelea kwenye soko la fedha za kigeni nchini, BoT kuendelea kumwaga fedha za kigeni inaweza kuwa ni mkakati wa kudumu wa wanaofaidika na ‘currency manipulations’. Kushinikiza Benki Kuu kuendelea kubomoa foreign reserve ni kutokuona mbali na kujaribu kujiridhisha kwa kutibu dalili za ugonjwa badala ya ugonjwa wenyewe.